Taleb, Nassim Nicholas | THE BLACK SWAN : the impact of the highly improbable

Boken utforskar fenomenet av oförutsägbara händelser med stor påverkan och hur människor missbedömer dessa.

• Utforskar fenomenet av svarta svanar i vår värld.

• En insiktsfull analys av oförutsägbara händelser och deras påverkan.

• Utgiven som häftat band 2010.

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Bindning: Häftat band

Bokförlag: Random House US
ISBN: 9780812973815

Omfång: 444
Språk: Engelska
Utgivningsdatum: 2010-05-11

Förlagets information

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible. For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan.

The black swan av Nassim Nicholas Taleb hittar du under Företagsekonomi och management inom Matematik i huvudkategorin Vetenskap | Teknik.

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